Analysis of JetBlue
JetBlue is one of
the smaller airlines in the industry and is dwarfed by the competition, but
remains undervalued relative to its peers.
JetBlue has many
avenues of growth available to it that should combine to exert upward pressure
on the stock price.
Jet Blue's strong customer loyalty and customer relations will help it strengthen and
grow its position within the industry.
Company
|
JetBlue (JBLU) | Delta Air Lines (DAL) | American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) | Southwest (NYSE:LUV) | United Continental (UAL) |
Market Cap | 6.516B | 34.04B | 21.79B | 31.21B | 18.85B |
P/E | 10.1 | 9.3 | 10.9 | 15.7 | 8.7 |
PEG | 1.2 | 2.5 | N/A | 2.6 | 3.6 |
P/B | 1.6 | 2.5 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
P/S | 1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
P/Cash Flow | 4.5 | 7.5 | 4 | 8.1 | 5 |
Operating Margin | 16.90% | 15.20% | 10.50% | 16.50% | 11.50% |
FCF yield | 6.20% | 3.80% | N/A | 5.30% | 2.90% |
FCF/sales | 5.93% | 3.26% | -0.57% | 7.98% | 1.48% |
Debt to equity | 0.26 | 0.59 | 6.06 | 0.34 | 1.31 |
JetBlue's Fundamentals
Comparing JetBlue’s
fundamentals with industry heavyweights gives an interesting look at the
company. Even though it is almost three times smaller by market cap than its
closest competitor on the list, it does appear to be undervalued.
P/E, P/B, and PEG: JetBlue
has a similar PE to the other companies, but its PEG is half that of the
closest competitor (Delta). Other metrics that indicate JetBlue is undervalued
are its PB, which is the lowest out of these five companies, and its
P/CashFlow, which is just above that of American Airlines, but lower than that
of the other three.
Operating margin, and debt load: Its operating margin is the highest of all five companies, and
higher by a wide margin over AAL and UAL. JetBlue carries a lower relative debt
load than its competition which should allow it to continue to develop without
being concerned about its debt load weighing it down.
Free cash flow: Its FCF
yield is the highest in the group, and its FCF/Sales is the second-highest.
These two leading fundamentals indicate that JetBlue has been able to generate
free cash flow at a strong pace which bodes well for it being able to grow and
expand.
Year
|
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 |
Revenue (USD millions) | 4,982 | 5,441 | 5,817 | 6,416 | 6,632 |
Growth | N/A | 9.20% | 6.90% | 10.30% | 3.40% |
Revenue Analysis
JetBlue's revenue
has been on an upward trend since 2012. Since then, JetBlue has seen revenue
rise to a total of 6632 million in 2016. JetBlue has not been slowing down as
Q2 2017 results indicate. In Q2, JetBlue saw an increase of 12.1% in revenue
over revenue earned in Q2 of 2016. JetBlue has been able to grow this revenue
for a few reasons that will continue to be viable options for the company well
into the future.
Cutting Cost (Cost Leadership) and Customer loyalty
JetBlue came in
first in Brand Keys' Customer Loyalty Engagement Index, ahead of Delta and
United. The reason is because JetBlue's reward program is top-notch.
Competition
The biggest risk
to JetBlue is the fact that it is only a fraction of the size of the other
major US based airlines. This means that it is at a disadvantage in resources,
number of flights offered, and other important areas of the industry.
Conclusion:
JetBlue is a small
player in the industry; however, it has other strong prospects which makes it a
BUY.
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